What Winning LOIs Look Like in 2025: New Insights From Axial’s Latest Data

Whether you’re preparing to sell your business or advising a seller, understanding what winning letters of intent (LOIs) look like in today’s market is essential.  Axial’s newest compilation of anonymized deal data from 25 successful lower-middle-market transactions offers a powerful window into valuation trends, deal structures, and industry dynamics that are shaping LOIs in 2025.
Here’s what we’re seeing in formats that matter to owners, advisors, and acquirers alike.
1. Deal Structures: Seller Financing Still MattersOne of the standouts from this dataset is how often seller financing plays a role in winning LOIs.  More than half of the featured deals included some form of seller financing demonstrating that flexibility in terms still counts. Earnouts and rollover equity also appear meaningfully across deal structures, showing that buyers are blending cash with performance and continued seller alignment.
What this means for sellers:
  • Being open to a mix of cash and structured consideration can expand the buyer universe and help tailor your deal to strategic and financial buyers alike, as reflected in the chart below sourced from Axial’s report.
Executed Buyer Type Industry Deal Headline Revenue EBITDA Multiple Cash Earnout Equity Seller Note
Q2 2025 Private Equity Business Services IT Services 3,051,527 1,342,409 5.99 65.00% 20.00% 15.00%
Q2 2025 Search Fund Technology Electronic Software Services 6,000,000 2,689,137 2.23 83.33% 4.17% 12.50%
Q2 2025 Individual Investor Technology Digital Marketing Services 7,650,000 3,169,615 2.68 55.00% 10.00% 20.00% 15.00%
Q2 2025 Search Fund Healthcare Dental Materials Manufacturing 13,000,000 3,000,000 8.24 70.00% 10.00% 20.00%
Q2 2025 Private Equity Business Services Telephone Call Center 15,800,000 2,600,000 4.07 75.54% 15.97% 8.50%
Q2 2025 Individual Investor Transportation Logistics Business 6,890,000 1,390,000 2.59 100.00%
Q2 2025 Independent Sponsor Healthcare Medical Software 9,603,224 3,502,491 9.49 70.00% 30.00%
Q2 2025 Independent Sponsor Industrials Chemical Manufacturer 6,920,000 1,552,000 6.12 100.00%
Q2 2025 Search Fund Transportation Equipment Manufacturing 8,500,000 4,500,000 6.67 75.00% 25.00%
Q2 2025 Holding Company Business Services Consulting Firm 26,700,000 4,500,000 5.56 92.00% 8.00%
Q2 2025 Private Equity Consumer Goods Garment Manufacturing 54,100,000 9,400,000 5.74 81.48% 18.52%
Q2 2025 Private Equity Industrials Landscaping Business 7,500,000 1,500,000 9.33 92.86% 7.14%
Q2 2025 Independent Sponsor Healthcare Medical Transportation 7,890,000 2,800,000 6.19 80.78% 19.22%
Q2 2025 Search Fund Industrials Plumbing Contractor 3,900,000 1,400,000 7.5 95.00% 5.00%
Q2 2025 Independent Sponsor Industrials Electrical Contractor 11,860,000 2,030,000 4.48 65.93% 23.08% 10.99%
Q1 2025 Private Equity Consumer Goods Printing Manufacturer 7,208,000 1,868,000 4.39 85.37% 14.63%
Q1 2025 Family Office Industrials Machine Manufacturer 12,788,000 2,163,000 5.09 70.45% 29.55%
Q1 2025 Individual Investor Consumer Goods Commercial Printing 16,100,000 2,300,000 2.45 88.50% 11.50%
Q1 2025 Family Office Technology Business Software 15,300,000 1,600,000 10.69 76.00% 12.31% 5.85% 5.85%
Q1 2025 Private Equity Industrials Civil Engineering 21,370,000 11,290,000 4.96 40.32% 59.68%
Q1 2025 Search Fund Food & Hospitality Food Manufacturer 4,000,000 800,000 3.5 85.71% 14.29%
Q1 2025 Independent Sponsor Food & Hospitality Speciality Foods Distributor 71,610,000 9,200,000 8.04 79.73% 20.27%
Q1 2025 Holding Company Technology Energy Software 1,700,000 1,100,000 7.89 100.00%
Q1 2025 Individual Investor Industrials Tree Services 2,678,951 1,200,000 7.08 82.35% 17.65%
Q1 2025 Private Equity Industrials Concrete Contractor 49,600,000 8,100,000 4.99 50.00% 38.50% 11.50%
Q1 2025 Corporation Industrials Fire Sprinkler Systems 3,490,320 505,000 2.28 91.38% 8.62%
Q1 2025 Corporation Industrials Landscaping Services 240,000 116,000 2.43 100.00%
Q1 2025 Family Office Consumer Goods Pet Supply Store 7,000,000 1,500,000 3.33 65.00% 30.00% 5.00%
Q1 2025 Independent Sponsor Healthcare Anesthesiologists Office 6,224,000 2,331,000 6.42 80.00% 20.00%
Q1 2025 Family Office Business Services Locksmith 2,310,000 500,000 2.29 100.00%
Q1 2025 Independent Sponsor Transportation General Freight Services 80,000,000 8,000,000 3.13 40.00% 60.00%
Q1 2025 Independent Sponsor Healthcare Ambulance Services 14,100,000 3,800,000 5.53 76.19% 23.81%
Q1 2025 Family Office Consumer Goods Hotel Supply Distributor 10,000,000 1,700,000 7.06 54.17% 16.67% 29.17%
Q1 2025 Search Fund Business Services Administrative Services 3,800,000 1,400,000 3.21 100.00%
Q1 2025 Holding Company Technology Medical Billing Software 1,800,000 490,000 7.14 57.14% 42.86%
Q1 2025 Private Equity Technology Education IT Services 10,000,000 1,500,000 5.61 74.47% 25.53%
Q4 2024 Independent Sponsor Technology Asset Tracking Software 353,000 86,000 9.3 68.75% 15.63% 15.63%
Q4 2024 Independent Sponsor Technology CMS Software 3,400,000 1,500,000 7 80.95% 19.05%
Q4 2024 Search Fund Consumer Goods Pool & Spa Contractor 14,000,000 2,900,000 3.45 72.00% 18.00% 10.00%
Q4 2024 Independent Sponsor Technology Product Lifecycle Software 16,000,000 3,100,000 4.19 61.54% 7.69% 15.38% 15.38%
Q4 2024 Independent Sponsor Healthcare Emergency Center 13,446,940 2,535,353 3.16 62.50% 18.75% 18.75%
Q4 2024 Private Equity Business Services Marketing Services 14,277,000 3,297,000 5.76 73.68% 26.32%
Q4 2024 Independent Sponsor Food & Hospitality Frozen Food Manufacturer 14,100,000 2,600,000 3.18 50.00% 50.00%
Q4 2024 Corporation Industrials Electrical Contractor 18,000,000 3,200,000 1.95 100.00%
Q4 2024 Corporation Consumer Goods School Furniture Manufacturer 11,470,000 3,356,000 5.81 94.87% 5.13%
Q4 2024 Search Fund Technology Media Software 7,790,000 4,100,000 7.32 64.80% 8.53% 26.67%
Q4 2024 Private Equity Business Services Employment Agency 7,500,000 1,400,000 3.64 86.15% 4.05% 9.80%
Q4 2024 Corporation Transportation Trucking Software Services 6,806,500 238,427 14.68 7.14% 92.86%
Q4 2024 Search Fund Business Services Armored Car Services 19,000,000 3,800,000 6.71 100.00%
Q4 2024 Search Fund Food & Hospitality Food Management Distributor 23,271,424 3,121,979 3.36 80.95% 19.05%
Q4 2024 Independent Sponsor Consumer Goods Office Supply Wholesaler 4,240,000 1,840,000 5.79 74.93% 25.07%
Q4 2024 Independent Sponsor Consumer Goods Food Equipment Distributor 13,700,000 1,200,000 4.75 77.19% 22.81%
Q4 2024 Private Equity Healthcare Eyeglasses Wholesaler 19,000,000 4,100,000 7.32 68.33% 25.00% 6.67%
Q4 2024 Private Equity Industrials Commercial Landscaping 27,200,000 4,300,000 3.6 66.56% 24.19% 9.25%
Q3 2024 Holding Company Healthcare Home Health Services 20,000,000 875,000 6.86 70.00% 30.00%
Q3 2024 Family Office Financial Services Consumer Lending Firm 7,100,000 4,100,000 3.54 75.86% 12.07% 12.07%
Q3 2024 Independent Sponsor Business Services Security & AV Services 5,500,000 1,100,000 4.09 75.00% 25.00%
Q3 2024 Independent Sponsor Consumer Goods Interior Design Services 27,600,000 5,600,000 4.46 74.00% 4.00% 22.00%
Q3 2024 Holding Company Transportation Motor Vehicle Office 17,500,000 1,900,000 5.79 72.73% 9.09% 18.18%
Q3 2024 Private Equity Industrials Electronic Manufacturer 6,600,000 3,000,000 5.47 100.00%
Q3 2024 Family Office Industrials Motor Repair Company 6,200,000 1,200,000 6 83.33% 16.67%
Q3 2024 Independent Sponsor Business Services Consulting Services 7,500,000 1,700,000 4.71 75.00% 15.00% 10.00%
Q3 2024 Family Office Industrials Pool Supply Business 4,886,353 570,692 4.38 60.00% 40.00%
Q3 2024 Holding Company Financial Services Medical Insurance Services 3,450,000 2,300,000 5 85.00% 7.50% 7.50%
Q3 2024 Family Office Industrials Building Contractor 5,880,000 1,410,000 4.18 100.00%
Q3 2024 Family Office Consumer Goods E-Commerce Brand 7,320,000 1,350,000 11.11 80.00% 20.00%
Q3 2024 Family Office Industrials Fence Installer 20,103,000 4,611,000 5.42 80.00% 20.00%
Q3 2024 Independent Sponsor Consumer Goods Sporting Good Manufacturer 3,600,000 1,300,000 4.5 82.35% 5.00% 12.65%
Q3 2024 Private Equity Business Services Consulting Agency 10,620,000 2,570,000 9.73 86.00% 4.00% 10.00%
Q3 2024 Family Office Industrials Roofing Contractor 1,800,000 700,000 5.59 60.36% 7.67% 31.97%
Q3 2024 Holding Company Industrials Fence & Gates Contractor 7,500,000 1,000,000 3.75 85.00% 15.00%
Q3 2024 Holding Company Technology IT Hosting Software 3,500,000 700,000 3.57 52.00% 48.00%
Q3 2024 Family Office Technology Medical Billing Software 3,600,000 2,500,000 4 75.00% 25.00%
Q3 2024 Family Office Industrials Industrial Machine Repair 10,900,000 920,000 5.98 72.73% 9.09% 18.18%
Q2 2024 Independent Sponsor Business Services Tax Preparation Services 17,402,996 4,434,551 4.48 64.75% 35.25%
Q2 2024 Family Office Industrials Aircraft Parts Manufacturer 6,810,000 1,418,000 3.67 75.00% 25.00%
Q2 2024 Independent Sponsor Healthcare Addiction Services Provider 11,300,000 4,300,000 5.81 80.00% 20.00%
Q2 2024 Corporation Industrials Appliance Repair Services 5,896,000 1,343,000 5.96 66.25% 8.75% 25.00%
Q2 2024 Independent Sponsor Healthcare Disability Care Provider 36,200,000 12,300,000 7.8 77.08% 12.50% 10.42%
Q2 2024 Private Equity Industrials Landscaping Company 17,500,000 2,200,000 8.18 85.42% 14.58%
Q2 2024 Individual Investor Technology HR Services 3,300,000 1,500,000 3.5 76.19% 23.81%
Q2 2024 Independent Sponsor Healthcare Addiction Treatment Center 12,000,000 4,800,000 4.17 75.00% 5.00% 20.00%
Q2 2024 Private Equity Financial Services Financial Services Platform 5,920,000 3,320,000 8.73 72.41% 10.34% 17.24%
Q2 2024 Search Fund Technology SEO Management Software 3,410,000 1,310,000 4.75 87.14% 12.86%
Q2 2024 Private Equity Food & Hospitality Perishable Food Distributor 9,440,000 4,500,000 4.78 96.51% 3.49%
Q2 2024 Individual Investor Consumer Goods Furniture Distributor 4,055,718 516,928 3.54 90.00% 10.00%
Q2 2024 Holding Company Business Services Financial Management Services 5,119,035 2,100,000 3.1 93.08% 6.92%
Q2 2024 Independent Sponsor Financial Services Consumer Lending 8,900,000 1,200,000 8.33 76.00% 10.00% 14.00%
Q2 2024 Holding Company Industrials HVAC Company 6,200,000 940,000 6.12 82.61% 17.39%
Q2 2024 Independent Sponsor Technology Energy Sector Software 1,700,000 1,000,000 6 83.33% 16.67%
Q2 2024 Holding Company Healthcare Plastic Surgery Practice 6,400,000 2,100,000 10.02 49.00% 30.00% 21.00%
Q1 2024 Individual Investor Consumer Goods Mattress Manufacturer 3,140,000 1,220,000 4.59 77.68% 22.32%
Q1 2024 Private Equity Industrials Commercial HVAC Business 7,845,645 851,014 4.11 100.00%
Q1 2024 Individual Investor Transportation Aircraft Engine Parts 6,300,000 1,400,000 3.57 80.00% 20.00%
Q1 2024 Independent Sponsor Food & Hospitality Uniform Supply Services 30,500,000 5,000,000 9.4 80.85% 8.51% 10.64%
Q1 2024 Private Equity Business Services Survey Consulting 12,459,000 2,601,000 6.92 59.72% 13.89% 20.83% 5.56%
Q1 2024 Family Office Transportation Semi-Trailer Manufacturer 2,577,441 834,486 5.39 90.00% 10.00%
Q1 2024 Search Fund Consumer Goods Outdoor Furniture Distributor 55,900,000 5,200,000 5.08 100.00%
Q1 2024 Independent Sponsor Healthcare Dentist Offices 23,900,000 4,100,000 9.56 67.35% 9.18% 23.47%
Q1 2024 Independent Sponsor Technology IT Consulting Firm 4,600,000 1,700,000 7.36 46.20% 8.50% 37.80% 7.50%

 

2. Valuation Multiples Vary Widely by IndustryAxial’s compiled range of winning LOIs reveals that where your business sits industry-wise heavily influences valuation multiples:

Higher Multiple Ranges:• Technology (~3.5x–11x)• Healthcare (7x–8.5x)Mid-Range Multiples:• Business Services (4x–9x)• Consumer Goods (~5.75x–6.5x)More Compressed Multiples:• Industrials (2x–6.5x)• Transportation (3.5x–5.5x)• Food & Hospitality (~3.25x–7.5x)

Timeline Insights: How Long Does it Take to Close?Although overall closing windows vary, many winning LOIs complete execution well before closing:
  • In several detailed cases from the dataset, deals went from LOI to close in ~40–100+ days, though complexity and structure influenced the timeline.
  • This reinforces the importance of pre-LOI readiness: clean financials, clear operations, and responsive diligence materials help buyers move quickly and can improve your odds of closing after an LOI lands.
3. Industry Revenue & EBITDA TrendsAcross the 25 deals in the eBook, we see:
  • Revenue ranges from roughly $1.5M up to $45M across industries.
  • EBITDA margins ranged widely from ~10% in some services and healthcare deals to ~60% in select technology transactions.
  • TEV ranges mirror both industry scale and margin expectations.
These patterns underscore a simple truth: profitability drives valuation more than size alone. Buyers consistently pay up for strong margins and predictable cash flow.
What Sellers Should Take AwayHere are the high-impact lessons for business owners thinking about a sale in the current market:
  • Be realistic about multiples by industry. Benchmark against peers, not impressions.
  • Consider flexible structures. Seller financing, rollover equity, and earnouts help bridge valuation gaps.
  • Pre-market readiness matters. Faster diligence responses often correlate with smoother closings.
  • Margin strength drives valuation. EBITDA quality often outweighs headline revenue.

What This Means for Business Owners Considering an ExitToday’s buyers are more disciplined than ever, but they’re still paying strong multiples for well-prepared businesses with clean financials, realistic expectations, and flexible deal structures. Data from Axial’s latest Winning LOIs shows that successful sellers not only understand current valuation benchmarks and margin expectations, but are also open to structured transactions, including seller notes, earnouts, and equity rollovers, to bridge valuation gaps and align with buyers.

If you’re thinking about an exit, whether that’s months or years away, understanding how your business compares to recent market activity and what deal terms buyers expect can help you plan proactively and avoid costly surprises. To explore valuation insights, exit readiness considerations, or start a confidential conversation, request your free valuation today.

 

**Credit: Based on data from Axial’s “Winning LOI eBook: Volume 3, Issues 51–75.”